We have one bad loss so far that could come back to haunt us, the St. Joe's game. Yes, the team that is currently predicted to end up at 180 in the RPI just lost to 250 RPI Duquesne. We do have the Morgan factor working in our favor to somewhat mitigate that loss. But what we need to avoid is another bad loss. That means we can't lose to any of USF, E. Carolina, Houston and our other game versus UCF. I still think we need to finish in the top 3 of the conference and win at least 22 games to be on the right side of the bubble. Definitely doable but that means going at least .500 against UConn, SMU, Cincy, Tulsa and Memphis. The next 3 games are really big for us, this is the toughest 3 game stretch we face the rest of the way.